Events

Predictions

Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.

Read Relevant event markets with active probability movement. Italy · 2 radar items · updated 8 Jun, 21:12

Probability Surge

Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

99.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 99.5%. 24h move +28.5 pts. 7d move +28.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

24h +28.5 pts

7d +28.5 pts

Volume 9K

Quality 46/100

Insight Market

Probability Fade

Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election?

Polymarket · Politics & Policy

3.5% probability

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.5%. 24h move -28.0 pts. 7d move -12.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

24h -28.0 pts

7d -12.0 pts

Volume 947

Quality 40/100

Insight Market