Ticker Options Intelligence

PRIM options intelligence

Primoris Services Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 42 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 10:22 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

PRIM currently carries bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 17.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 17.1%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.36

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +0.6%

RS -37.9

Expected move 17.1%
Put-call volume 0.36
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.90
Max pain 80.00
Underlying 86.51
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 488

Research Brief

PRIM has a bullish chain read with 42/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 71.76–101.26; The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 80.00. The most active strike by current volume is 80.00.

Priced range71.76–101.26
Call concentration120.00
Put concentration80.00
Max pain reference80.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 71.76 to 101.26. Max pain at 80.00 sits inside that range, 7.5% below spot.

Spot Max pain
71.7686.51 ± 14.75101.26
Confirmation level

A close beyond 101.26 or below 71.76 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 42/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 56/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure56 × 42%
+23.6

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation38 × 22%
+8.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.5Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 80.00. The most active strike by current volume is 80.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
120
50.00-42.2%
0
103
65.00-24.9%
11
141
80.00-7.5%
614
98
85.00-1.7%
9
54
90.004.0%
539
50
95.009.8%
60
10
97.5012.7%
197
69
100.0015.6%
178
53
105.0021.4%
446
10
110.0027.2%
268
65
115.0032.9%
50
19
120.0038.7%
1857
1
125.0044.5%
196
2
130.0050.3%
207
0
145.0067.6%
108
1
150.0073.4%
1745
0
200.00131.2%
235
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.17× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.90 21 Aug 22d
0.78 18 Sep 50d
0.80 20 Nov 113d
0.79 18 Dec 141d
0.77 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

70
73
75
78
80
83
85
88
90
93
95
98
100
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
488 / 488
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

91/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow before price confirmation

Call-side pressure is building before a meaningful weekly price response.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $157960 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+56
1W price+0.6%
Call premium93%
Put premium7%
Notional split C 93% / P 7% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 3 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 59 contracts traded, $61720 estimated gross traded notional, and 39% of visible notional.
$61720
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 25 contracts traded, $33180 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$33180
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $16600 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$16600
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 21 contracts traded, $15620 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$15620
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 52 contracts traded, $10912 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$10912

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close86.51
1W+0.6%
RS-37.9
Fair value+9.5%
Options pressure56
Speculation38
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 17.1% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.90 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.36 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:33 Bullish
Pressure 20
Move 18.7%
30 Jul 10:31 Volatility
Pressure 88
Move 21.5%
31 Jul 09:22 Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 17.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike37.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike42.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 2
Strike47.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 120
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 22 · OI 18

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.90
Put-call0.51
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.78
Put-call0.13
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.80
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts108
Avg IV0.79
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts56
Avg IV0.77
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.93
Put IV0.89
Skew-0.04
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.80
Put IV0.83
Skew0.04
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.76
Put IV0.86
Skew0.11
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.77
Put IV0.84
Skew0.08
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.73
Put IV0.81
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractPRIM260821C00080000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume56
OI614
IV0.88
ContractPRIM260821P00055000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike55.00
Volume22
OI18
IV1.05
ContractPRIM260918C00090000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike90.00
Volume20
OI42
IV0.74
ContractPRIM260821C00100000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike100.00
Volume19
OI178
IV0.93
ContractPRIM260821P00060000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike60.00
Volume16
OI41
IV0.99
ContractPRIM261218C00095000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike95.00
Volume14
OI3
IV0.80
ContractPRIM260821C00165000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike165.00
Volume10
OI21
IV0.89
ContractPRIM260821P00080000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume9
OI141
IV0.99