Ticker Options Intelligence

ACIW options intelligence

ACI Worldwide Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 51 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 13:06 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ACIW currently carries volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.13.

Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 9.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.13

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 20.00

Put-side skew

Trend fit 11

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.8%

RS 12.5

Expected move 9.7%
Put-call volume 20.00
Volume / OI 0.13
Reference IV 0.54
Max pain 45.00
Underlying 57.33
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 116

Research Brief

ACIW has a volatility chain read with 51/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 51.78–62.88; The largest call open-interest concentration is 45.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 60.00.

Priced range51.78–62.88
Call concentration45.00
Put concentration40.00
Max pain reference45.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 51.78 to 62.88. Max pain at 45.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
51.7857.33 ± 5.5562.88
Confirmation level

A close beyond 62.88 or below 51.78 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 51/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 93/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure93 × 42%
+38.9

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation6 × 22%
+1.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement11 × 26%
+2.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility76 × 10%
+7.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score50.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 45.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 60.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
20.00-65.1%
0
3
22.50-60.8%
1
3
25.00-56.4%
0
1
30.00-47.7%
17
15
35.00-38.9%
4
173
40.00-30.2%
3
30
45.00-21.5%
83
33
50.00-12.8%
10
44
55.00-4.1%
23
0
60.004.7%
26
3
65.0013.4%
30
0
70.0022.1%
6
0
75.0030.8%
3
0
80.0039.5%
0
0
85.0048.3%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.24× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.54 21 Aug 21d
0.42 18 Sep 49d
0.48 20 Nov 112d
0.43 19 Feb 203d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

50
55
60
65
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
116 / 116
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

79/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $31015 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-93
1W price+1.8%
Call premium2%
Put premium98%
Notional split C 2% / P 98% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.13 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 11/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 4 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · OTM
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 100 contracts traded, $30250 estimated gross traded notional, and 98% of visible notional.
$30250
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 4 contracts traded, $625 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$625
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $140 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$140

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close57.33
1W+1.8%
RS12.5
Fair value+34.7%
Options pressure-93
Speculation6
Volatility76
Trend fit11

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.54 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 20.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.13 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:43 Bullish
Pressure 33
Move 14.0%
30 Jul 10:39 Volatility
Pressure 46
Move 14.2%
30 Jul 15:14 Volatility
Pressure 47
Move 11.3%
30 Jul 15:41 Volatility
Pressure 47
Move 11.2%
30 Jul 19:41 Volatility
Pressure 61
Move 11.4%
2 Aug 12:06 Volatility
Pressure -93
Move 9.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 17
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 4
Puts · V 0 · OI 15
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 173
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 83
Puts · V 0 · OI 30
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 0 · OI 33

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.54
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.42
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts32
Avg IV0.48
Put-call-
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts30
Avg IV0.43
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.77
Skew0.32
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.51
Skew0.04
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.51
Put IV0.53
Skew0.02
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.39
Put IV0.47
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractACIW260918P00055000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike55.00
Volume100
OI-
IV0.51
ContractACIW261120C00075000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike75.00
Volume2
OI13
IV0.51
ContractACIW261120C00080000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike80.00
Volume2
OI5
IV0.52
ContractACIW260821C00060000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike60.00
Volume1
OI26
IV0.44
ContractACIW260821P00040000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume-
OI173
IV1.30
ContractACIW261120C00060000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI92
IV0.46
ContractACIW261120P00045000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI88
IV0.60
ContractACIW260821C00045000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI83
IV0.82