Ticker Options Intelligence

VOC options intelligence

VOC Energy Trust options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 52 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 21:28 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

VOC currently carries volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 45.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.12.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 45.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.12

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.10

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -3.4%

RS -4.8

Expected move 45.5%
Put-call volume 0.10
Volume / OI 0.12
Reference IV 1.90
Max pain 2.50
Underlying 3.38
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 9

Research Brief

VOC has a volatility chain read with 52/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 1.84–4.92; The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50.

Priced range1.84–4.92
Call concentration5.00
Put concentration2.50
Max pain reference2.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 1.84 to 4.92. Max pain at 2.50 sits inside that range, 26.0% below spot.

Spot Max pain
1.843.38 ± 1.544.92
Confirmation level

A close beyond 4.92 or below 1.84 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 52/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 93/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure93 × 42%
+39.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation16 × 22%
+3.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score52.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 5.00; the largest put concentration is 2.50. The most active strike by current volume is 2.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
15
2.50-26.0%
0
0
5.0047.9%
11
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.83× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.90 21 Aug 21d
0.57 16 Oct 77d
0.67 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A92/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
9 / 9
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

85/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $1898 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+93
1W price-3.4%
Call premium54%
Put premium46%
Notional split C 54% / P 46% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.12 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 11 Aug Matched earnings event is 9 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · ITM
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $764 estimated gross traded notional, and 40% of visible notional.
$764
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 120 contracts traded, $600 estimated gross traded notional, and 32% of visible notional.
$600
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $288 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$288
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $105 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$105
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 10 contracts traded, $100 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$100

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close2.98
1W-3.4%
RS-4.8
Fair value-21.1%
Options pressure93
Speculation16
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 45.5% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.90 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.10 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.12 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:48 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 42.3%
30 Jul 11:25 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 39.5%
30 Jul 15:07 Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 54.9%
30 Jul 15:44 Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 55.1%
30 Jul 22:26 Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 55.0%
31 Jul 07:16 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 46.9%
31 Jul 17:25 Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 46.8%
31 Jul 20:28 Volatility
Pressure 93
Move 45.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 10 · OI 15
Strike5.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV1.90
Put-call3.33
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts4
Avg IV0.57
Put-call0.36
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts3
Avg IV0.67
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.28
Put IV2.52
Skew1.23
16 Oct 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV0.68
Put IV-
Skew-
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.54
Put IV0.61
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractVOC270115P00002500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI2
IV0.61
ContractVOC270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume120
OI122
IV0.54
ContractVOC260821P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike2.50
Volume10
OI15
IV2.52
ContractVOC261016C00005000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume5
OI1034
IV0.68
ContractVOC261016C00002500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike2.50
Volume5
OI3
IV0.54
ContractVOC261016P00005000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume4
OI-
IV0.00
ContractVOC260821C00005000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike5.00
Volume3
OI11
IV1.28
ContractVOC270115C00002500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.50
Volume2
OI-
IV0.86