Ticker Options Intelligence

FMS options intelligence

Fresenius Medical Care Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 33 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 15:43 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

FMS currently carries mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 6.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 99

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +4.4%

RS 1.8

Expected move 6.3%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 22.50
Underlying 25.66
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 62

Research Brief

FMS has a mixed chain read with 33/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 24.04–27.28; The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 20.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50.

Priced range24.04–27.28
Call concentration25.00
Put concentration20.00
Max pain reference22.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 24.04 to 27.28. Max pain at 22.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
24.0425.66 ± 1.6227.28
Confirmation level

A close beyond 27.28 or below 24.04 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 33/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 8/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure8 × 42%
+3.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement99 × 26%
+25.8

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility44 × 10%
+4.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score33.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 25.00; the largest put concentration is 20.00. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
3
12.50-51.3%
0
0
15.00-41.5%
0
0
17.50-31.8%
0
30
20.00-22.1%
0
7
22.50-12.3%
2
0
25.00-2.6%
3
0
30.0016.9%
0
0
35.0036.4%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.05× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.26 21 Aug 21d
0.24 18 Sep 49d
0.31 16 Oct 77d
0.25 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

23
25
30
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
62 / 62
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

33/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-8
1W price+4.4%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 99/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close25.66
1W+4.4%
RS1.8
Fair value+20.3%
Options pressure-8
Speculation0
Volatility44
Trend fit99

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:26 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 6.9%
30 Jul 10:22 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 6.6%
31 Jul 10:11 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 15.0%
31 Jul 11:55 Bullish
Pressure 92
Move 6.8%
1 Aug 14:43 Mixed
Pressure -8
Move 6.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 30
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.26
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.24
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts14
Avg IV0.25
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.07
Skew-0.22
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.05
Skew-0.14
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.15
Put IV0.42
Skew0.27
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.09
Put IV0.44
Skew0.35

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractFMS261016P00022500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI466
IV0.42
ContractFMS270115C00012500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI109
IV0.01
ContractFMS270115C00015000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI84
IV0.01
ContractFMS270115C00017500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI64
IV0.01
ContractFMS270115P00030000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike30.00
Volume-
OI62
IV0.34
ContractFMS261016C00022500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike22.50
Volume-
OI38
IV0.28
ContractFMS260821P00020000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike20.00
Volume-
OI30
IV0.46
ContractFMS261016C00025000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike25.00
Volume-
OI25
IV0.37