Ticker Options Intelligence

INSM options intelligence

Insmed Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 34 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:05 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

INSM currently carries mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 13.2%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.05.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 13.2%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.05

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.22

Balanced tape

Trend fit 55

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -7.8%

RS -38.5

Expected move 13.2%
Put-call volume 1.22
Volume / OI 0.05
Reference IV 0.71
Max pain 110.00
Underlying 106.92
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 686

Research Brief

INSM has a mixed chain read with 34/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 92.82–121.02; The largest call open-interest concentration is 130.00; the largest put concentration is 110.00. The most active strike by current volume is 110.00.

Priced range92.82–121.02
Call concentration130.00
Put concentration110.00
Max pain reference110.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 92.82 to 121.02. Max pain at 110.00 sits inside that range, 2.9% above spot.

Spot Max pain
92.82106.92 ± 14.10121.02
Confirmation level

A close beyond 121.02 or below 92.82 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 34/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 5/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure5 × 42%
+2.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement55 × 26%
+14.2

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility90 × 10%
+9.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score34.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 130.00; the largest put concentration is 110.00. The most active strike by current volume is 110.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
216
85.00-20.5%
2
674
90.00-15.8%
17
880
95.00-11.1%
25
1753
100.00-6.5%
505
1863
105.00-1.8%
832
2126
110.002.9%
2408
84
115.007.6%
2529
27
120.0012.2%
623
204
125.0016.9%
619
0
130.0021.6%
6775
7
135.0026.3%
605
153
140.0030.9%
1118
200
145.0035.6%
34
111
155.0045.0%
218
0
160.0049.6%
236
0
165.0054.3%
714
0
170.0059.0%
1421
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.15× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.71 21 Aug 22d
0.65 18 Sep 50d
0.66 20 Nov 113d
0.63 15 Jan 169d
0.62 19 Feb 204d
0.64 19 Mar 232d
0.63 21 May 295d
0.63 20 Aug 386d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

88
90
93
95
98
100
105
110
115
120
125
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
686 / 686
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

85/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $3.5M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · otm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-5
1W price-7.8%
Call premium36%
Put premium64%
Notional split C 36% / P 64% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.05 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 55/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 6 Aug Matched earnings event is 5 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · OTM
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 2531 contracts traded, $2.1M estimated gross traded notional, and 59% of visible notional.
$2.1M
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 1344 contracts traded, $504202 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$504202
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 595 contracts traded, $333200 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$333200
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 407 contracts traded, $323565 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$323565
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 440 contracts traded, $160542 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$160542

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close98.60
1W-7.8%
RS-38.5
Fair value+15.2%
Options pressure-5
Speculation41
Volatility90
Trend fit55

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 13.2% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.71 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.22 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.05 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:16 Volatility
Pressure 84
Move 14.5%
30 Jul 10:12 Volatility
Pressure 97
Move 12.9%
31 Jul 10:05 Mixed
Pressure -5
Move 13.2%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 5 · OI 60
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 12 · OI 216
Strike87.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 13

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts86
Avg IV0.71
Put-call0.19
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.65
Put-call2.50
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts78
Avg IV0.66
Put-call2.37
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts114
Avg IV0.63
Put-call78.29
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts56
Avg IV0.62
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.70
Put IV0.70
Skew-
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.65
Put IV0.62
Skew-0.03
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.64
Put IV0.72
Skew0.08
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.63
Put IV0.65
Skew0.02
19 Feb 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.61
Put IV0.62
Skew0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractINSM270115P00080000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike80.00
Volume1875
OI7780
IV0.69
ContractINSM260821C00110000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike110.00
Volume1017
OI2408
IV0.75
ContractINSM260821C00105000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike105.00
Volume595
OI832
IV0.71
ContractINSM270115P00090000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike90.00
Volume550
OI11
IV0.65
ContractINSM260821C00100000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike100.00
Volume407
OI505
IV0.72
ContractINSM260821P00095000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike95.00
Volume399
OI880
IV0.68
ContractINSM260821C00115000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike115.00
Volume200
OI2529
IV0.70
ContractINSM260821C00130000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike130.00
Volume100
OI6775
IV0.87