Ticker Options Intelligence

UHAL options intelligence

U-Haul Holding Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 33 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 11:23 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

UHAL currently carries mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 9.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 95

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +0.2%

RS 20.0

Expected move 9.6%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI -
Reference IV 0.34
Max pain 65.00
Underlying 71.43
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 100

Research Brief

UHAL has a mixed chain read with 33/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 64.61–78.25; The largest call open-interest concentration is 80.00; the largest put concentration is 55.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.

Priced range64.61–78.25
Call concentration80.00
Put concentration55.00
Max pain reference65.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 64.61 to 78.25. Max pain at 65.00 sits inside that range, 9.0% below spot.

Spot Max pain
64.6171.43 ± 6.8278.25
Confirmation level

A close beyond 78.25 or below 64.61 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 33/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 6/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure6 × 42%
+2.4

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation0 × 22%
+0.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement95 × 26%
+24.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility62 × 10%
+6.2

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score33.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 80.00; the largest put concentration is 55.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
40.00-44.0%
0
0
45.00-37.0%
0
0
50.00-30.0%
2
20
55.00-23.0%
1
0
60.00-16.0%
0
0
65.00-9.0%
25
4
70.00-2.0%
11
0
75.005.0%
3
0
80.0012.0%
41
0
85.0019.0%
0
0
90.0026.0%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.02× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.34 21 Aug 22d
0.31 18 Sep 50d
0.34 18 Dec 141d
0.33 19 Mar 232d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

60
65
70
75
80
85
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

No independently verifiable option-expiry outcomes have matured yet. Legacy snapshots without a point-in-time market reference and repeated same-session snapshots are deliberately excluded.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
29 Jul 2026
Calculation
v1.x legacy
Contracts
100 / 100
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Likely noise

33/100
Primary intent Likely noise

Visible options activity is too thin or mixed to support a strong intent classification.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Likely noise matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $0 of estimated gross traded notional, no dominant cluster, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+6
1W price+0.2%
Call premium0%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 0% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 95/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 5 Aug Matched earnings event is 5 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters No dominant cluster

No high-conviction option cluster is visible in this snapshot.

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

1 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 1 completed session

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close71.43
1W+0.2%
RS20.0
Fair value+15.7%
Options pressure6
Speculation0
Volatility62
Trend fit95

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.6% history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
IV 0.34 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:28 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 11.2%
30 Jul 10:23 Mixed
Pressure 6
Move 9.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 20
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 25
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 11
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.34
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts24
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts28
Avg IV0.34
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts26
Avg IV0.33
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.08
Put IV0.49
Skew0.41
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.36
Put IV0.39
Skew0.03
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.37
Skew0.05
19 Mar 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.30
Put IV0.35
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractUHAL260918C00055000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI61
IV0.43
ContractUHAL261218C00065000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI59
IV0.37
ContractUHAL260918P00045000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume-
OI53
IV0.46
ContractUHAL260821C00080000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI41
IV0.18
ContractUHAL261218C00070000
SideCall
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike70.00
Volume-
OI26
IV0.37
ContractUHAL260821C00065000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike65.00
Volume-
OI25
IV0.51
ContractUHAL260918C00060000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike60.00
Volume-
OI25
IV0.39
ContractUHAL260821P00055000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike55.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.41