Primary read
Mixed
Options-market disagreement
Ticker Options Intelligence
RBLX options intelligence
Roblox Corp options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.
Conviction
34
Market data through 30 Jul 2026
Checked 31 Jul 2026 00:41 · complete available chain
Options-market disagreement
Mixed pressure
RBLX currently carries mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 13.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.20.
Expected move
13.7%
Wider near-term move priced
Activity / OI
0.20
Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest
Put-call
1.06
Balanced tape
Trend fit
55
Options are not fully confirming trend
Weekly backdrop
-25.1%
RS -59.6
Expected move
13.7%
Put-call volume
1.06
Volume / OI
0.20
Reference IV
2.24
Max pain
48.00
Underlying
47.55
Nearest expiry
31 Jul 2026
Contracts
859
Research Brief
RBLX has a mixed chain read with 34/100 evidence alignment.
The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 41.02–54.08; The largest call open-interest concentration is 65.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.
Priced range41.02–54.08
Call concentration65.00
Put concentration40.00
Max pain reference48.00
- A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
- Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
- Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
- Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.
Priced Move
Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional
Options imply 41.02 to 54.08. Max pain at 48.00 sits inside that range, 0.9% above spot.
Spot
Max pain
41.0247.55 ± 6.5354.08
Confirmation level
A close beyond 54.08 or below 41.02 at the 31 Jul expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.
Important limitation
The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.
Score Construction
Why conviction is 34/100
Pressure is 1/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.
Directional pressure1 × 42%
+0.6
How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.
Participation45 × 22%
+9.8
Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.
Trend agreement55 × 26%
+14.3
How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.
Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6
The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.
Positioning by Strike
Where open interest and current activity concentrate
The largest call open-interest concentration is 65.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.
Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
693
40.00-15.9%
95
478
43.00-9.6%
312
516
45.00-5.4%
168
232
47.00-1.2%
296
334
48.000.9%
112
645
50.005.2%
1002
89
52.009.4%
1087
160
53.0011.5%
458
139
55.0015.7%
1068
6
57.0019.9%
849
11
60.0026.2%
1953
9
62.0030.4%
952
0
64.0034.6%
640
1
65.0036.7%
2351
1
70.0047.2%
1941
0
75.0057.7%
2196
0
80.0068.2%
1950
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry
Volatility Curve
Front-loaded volatility
Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.
2.24
31 Jul
1d
1.23
7 Aug
8d
1.03
14 Aug
15d
0.94
21 Aug
22d
0.91
28 Aug
29d
0.84
4 Sep
36d
0.80
18 Sep
50d
0.75
16 Oct
78d
Volatility by Strike
Balanced wings
Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.
39
40
40
41
42
43
43
44
45
46
46
47
48
49
49
50
51
53
54
55
57
Put IV Call IV
Historical Replay
How matured reads behaved through expiry
Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.
Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
- Versioned calculationv2 observations only
- Independent entryone read per market session
- Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
- Matched expiry closereported only after maturity
Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.
Evidence Quality
Usable with limits
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
- Chain status
- Complete available chain
- Market date
- 30 Jul 2026
- Calculation
- v2.0
- Contracts
- 859 / 859
- No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.
Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.
Options Intent Radar
Put-heavy activity
Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.
The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.
Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $19.8M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.
Options pressure+1
1W price-25.1%
Call premium35%
Put premium65%
Notional split
C 35% / P 65%
Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness
0.20
Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit
55/100
Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Puts · 91+ days · ITM
puts cluster with 1237 contracts traded, $4.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 23% of visible notional.
$4.6M
Puts · 46-90 days · ATM
puts cluster with 5464 contracts traded, $2.7M estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$2.7M
Calls · 0-7 days · OTM
calls cluster with 13785 contracts traded, $1.7M estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$1.7M
Calls · 91+ days · OTM
calls cluster with 4701 contracts traded, $1.6M estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$1.6M
Puts · 0-7 days · ATM
puts cluster with 4951 contracts traded, $1.4M estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$1.4M
Setup Classification
Opportunity and risk frame
The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.
Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.
Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.
Activity Anomaly
Warming up
2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.
Baseline: 2 completed sessions
Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-
Market Context
Underlying confirmation
Close35.60
1W-25.1%
RS-59.6
Fair value-41.4%
Options pressure1
Speculation45
Volatility96
Trend fit55
Today Versus Normal
Stored-options context
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions
-
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions
-
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions
-
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions
-
Pressure Trail
Recent pressure and volatility
29 Jul 10:13
Bullish
Pressure 33
Move 15.2%
30 Jul 10:10
Bullish
Pressure 47
Move 15.4%
30 Jul 17:00
Bullish
Pressure 25
Move 13.9%
30 Jul 19:49
Mixed
Pressure 17
Move 13.6%
30 Jul 23:41
Mixed
Pressure 1
Move 13.7%
Strike Map
Where activity is clustering
Strike25.00
Calls · V 15 · OI 19
Puts · V 13 · OI 58
Strike30.00
Calls · V 90 · OI 2
Puts · V 129 · OI 112
Strike32.00
Calls · V 10 · OI 10
Puts · V 58 · OI 58
Strike33.00
Calls · V 26 · OI 13
Puts · V 41 · OI 40
Strike34.00
Calls · V 6 · OI 7
Puts · V 61 · OI 114
Strike35.00
Calls · V 4 · OI 22
Puts · V 323 · OI 283
Strike36.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 13
Puts · V 47 · OI 68
Strike37.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 56
Puts · V 508 · OI 275
Term Structure
Expiration activity
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts107
Avg IV2.24
Put-call1.52
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts78
Avg IV1.23
Put-call0.37
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts53
Avg IV1.03
Put-call0.42
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts62
Avg IV0.94
Put-call0.30
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts43
Avg IV0.91
Put-call0.53
Skew
Call/put IV balance
31 Jul 2026Balanced skew
Call IV2.21
Put IV2.21
Skew0.00
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.24
Put IV1.25
Skew0.01
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.02
Put IV1.05
Skew0.03
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.99
Put IV0.93
Skew-0.06
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.87
Put IV0.82
Skew-0.04
Contract Tape
Most active contracts
ContractRBLX260828C00075000
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI26
IV0.88
ContractRBLX270319P00080000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI20
IV0.99
ContractRBLX260731P00061000
SidePut
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike61.00
Volume-
OI7
IV2.09
ContractRBLX260807C00037000
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike37.00
Volume-
OI3
IV1.27
ContractRBLX260731C00041500
SideCall
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Strike41.50
Volume-
OI2
IV1.86
ContractRBLX260807P00075000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike75.00
Volume-
OI2
IV2.43
ContractRBLX260828C00035000
SideCall
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Strike35.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.86
ContractRBLX261218P00155000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike155.00
Volume-
OI2
IV0.00
Research Graph
Related research and context
Sharemaestro research
Related News
No recent ticker-specific news yet.
Market Watch
Earnings
No upcoming matched earnings event.
Plain English Guide
Options context
What usually looks constructive
What usually looks cautious
Options can move quickly and can lose value fast. Treat this as research context, not a buy or sell instruction.