Ticker Options Intelligence

BZAI options intelligence

Blaize Holdings, Inc. options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 53 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 22:16 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

BZAI currently carries volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 42.4%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 42.4%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.01

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -12.5%

RS -68.5

Expected move 42.4%
Put-call volume 0.01
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 1.67
Max pain 1.50
Underlying 0.79
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 96

Research Brief

BZAI has a volatility chain read with 53/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 0.46–1.13; The largest call open-interest concentration is 3.00; the largest put concentration is 1.50. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00.

Priced range0.46–1.13
Call concentration3.00
Put concentration1.50
Max pain reference1.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 0.46 to 1.13. Max pain at 1.50 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
0.460.79 ± 0.341.13
Confirmation level

A close beyond 1.13 or below 0.46 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 53/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score53.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 3.00; the largest put concentration is 1.50. The most active strike by current volume is 1.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
12
0.50-36.7%
166
190
1.0026.5%
1185
1646
1.5089.8%
1714
21
2.00153.1%
2062
12
3.00279.6%
2766
1
4.00406.1%
674
0
5.00532.7%
662
1
6.00659.2%
525
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.34× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.67 21 Aug 21d
1.03 18 Sep 49d
1.02 20 Nov 112d
1.48 15 Jan 168d
1.50 19 Feb 203d
1.25 21 Jan 539d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
96 / 96
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

86/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $16324 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price-12.5%
Call premium95%
Put premium5%
Notional split C 95% / P 5% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 11 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 206 contracts traded, $10300 estimated gross traded notional, and 63% of visible notional.
$10300
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 408 contracts traded, $4722 estimated gross traded notional, and 29% of visible notional.
$4722
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 5 contracts traded, $800 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$800
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 76 contracts traded, $454 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$454
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $30 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$30

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close0.79
1W-12.5%
RS-68.5
Fair value-88.2%
Options pressure100
Speculation8
Volatility96
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 42.4% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.67 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:39 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 41.5%
30 Jul 11:17 Volatility
Pressure 88
Move 44.3%
31 Jul 10:52 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 33.2%
31 Jul 14:35 Volatility
Pressure 83
Move 41.5%
31 Jul 23:34 Volatility
Pressure 83
Move 37.1%
1 Aug 02:47 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 37.1%
1 Aug 21:16 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 42.4%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike0.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 166
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike1.00
Calls · V 74 · OI 1185
Puts · V 0 · OI 190
Strike1.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1714
Puts · V 0 · OI 1646
Strike2.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2062
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike3.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2766
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike4.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 674
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike5.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 662
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike6.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 525
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV1.67
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts12
Avg IV1.03
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts16
Avg IV1.02
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts20
Avg IV1.48
Put-call0.06
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts14
Avg IV1.50
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.81
Put IV1.48
Skew0.66
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.53
Put IV0.97
Skew0.44
20 Nov 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.72
Put IV0.65
Skew-0.07
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV1.29
Put IV1.85
Skew0.56
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.91
Put IV1.55
Skew0.63

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBZAI280121C00000500
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike0.50
Volume206
OI755
IV1.15
ContractBZAI280121C00010000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike10.00
Volume173
OI8496
IV1.28
ContractBZAI260821C00001000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike1.00
Volume74
OI1185
IV0.81
ContractBZAI270115C00002000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike2.00
Volume72
OI3637
IV1.29
ContractBZAI261120C00001000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike1.00
Volume46
OI437
IV1.23
ContractBZAI261120C00001500
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike1.50
Volume43
OI969
IV0.72
ContractBZAI280121C00001500
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike1.50
Volume37
OI842
IV1.03
ContractBZAI280121C00002000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike2.00
Volume30
OI1382
IV1.04