Ticker Options Intelligence

SKE options intelligence

Skeena Resources Ltd options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 35 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 03:48 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

SKE currently carries mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 11.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 11.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.47

Put-side skew

Trend fit 79

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop -2.0%

RS -2.2

Expected move 11.7%
Put-call volume 1.47
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.57
Max pain 27.50
Underlying 27.11
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 140

Research Brief

SKE has a mixed chain read with 35/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 23.93–30.29; The largest call open-interest concentration is 27.50; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 27.50.

Priced range23.93–30.29
Call concentration27.50
Put concentration25.00
Max pain reference27.50
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 23.93 to 30.29. Max pain at 27.50 sits inside that range, 1.4% above spot.

Spot Max pain
23.9327.11 ± 3.1830.29
Confirmation level

A close beyond 30.29 or below 23.93 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 35/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 14/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure14 × 42%
+5.8

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation3 × 22%
+0.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement79 × 26%
+20.5

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility80 × 10%
+8.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score34.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 27.50; the largest put concentration is 25.00. The most active strike by current volume is 27.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
15.00-44.7%
0
0
17.50-35.4%
0
11
20.00-26.2%
6
301
22.50-17.0%
0
1140
25.00-7.8%
11
89
27.501.4%
680
10
30.0010.7%
467
0
32.5019.9%
260
0
35.0029.1%
204
0
37.5038.3%
1
0
40.0047.5%
0
0
42.5056.8%
0
0
45.0066.0%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.90× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.57 21 Aug 22d
0.61 18 Sep 50d
0.61 16 Oct 78d
0.63 15 Jan 169d
0.64 17 Dec 505d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

23
25
28
30
33
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
140 / 140
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

78/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $6470 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · otm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-14
1W price-2.0%
Call premium28%
Put premium72%
Notional split C 28% / P 72% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 79/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 13 Aug Matched earnings event is 12 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · OTM
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 15 contracts traded, $2355 estimated gross traded notional, and 36% of visible notional.
$2355
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $1365 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$1365
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $990 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$990
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $468 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$468
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 2 contracts traded, $420 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$420

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close26.58
1W-2.0%
RS-2.2
Fair value+97.2%
Options pressure-14
Speculation3
Volatility80
Trend fit79

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 11.7% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.57 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.47 history building
30d avg - · 1/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 1/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 1/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:50 Volatility
Pressure -95
Move 14.7%
29 Jul 23:13 Volatility
Pressure 53
Move 13.8%
30 Jul 17:07 Bullish
Pressure 53
Move 13.4%
31 Jul 02:48 Mixed
Pressure -14
Move 11.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike15.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 301
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 11
Puts · V 1 · OI 1140
Strike27.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 680
Puts · V 2 · OI 89
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 467
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike32.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 260
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts26
Avg IV0.57
Put-call4.00
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.61
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.61
Put-call16.00
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts32
Avg IV0.63
Put-call1.00
Expiry17 Dec 2027
Contracts30
Avg IV0.64
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.67
Put IV0.73
Skew0.06
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.59
Put IV0.61
Skew0.02
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.66
Put IV0.73
Skew0.07
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.61
Put IV0.68
Skew0.07
17 Dec 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.64
Put IV0.64
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractSKE261016P00025000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike25.00
Volume11
OI93
IV0.64
ContractSKE260918C00030000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike30.00
Volume6
OI52
IV0.56
ContractSKE260918C00032500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike32.50
Volume5
OI109
IV0.59
ContractSKE261016P00020000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike20.00
Volume4
OI20
IV0.66
ContractSKE270115C00035000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike35.00
Volume2
OI256
IV0.58
ContractSKE260821P00027500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike27.50
Volume2
OI89
IV0.74
ContractSKE260821P00025000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike25.00
Volume1
OI1140
IV0.73
ContractSKE260821P00022500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike22.50
Volume1
OI301
IV0.67