Ticker Options Intelligence

FLS options intelligence

Flowserve Corporation options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 59 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 06:31 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

FLS currently carries volatility options pressure with a 59/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.9%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.04.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 9.9%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.04

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.01

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.0%

RS 0.4

Expected move 9.9%
Put-call volume 0.01
Volume / OI 0.04
Reference IV 0.52
Max pain 70.00
Underlying 75.99
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 138

Research Brief

FLS has a volatility chain read with 59/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 68.49–83.49; The largest call open-interest concentration is 75.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 80.00.

Priced range68.49–83.49
Call concentration75.00
Put concentration70.00
Max pain reference70.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 68.49 to 83.49. Max pain at 70.00 sits inside that range, 7.9% below spot.

Spot Max pain
68.4975.99 ± 7.5083.49
Confirmation level

A close beyond 83.49 or below 68.49 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 59/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility76 × 10%
+7.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score58.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 75.00; the largest put concentration is 70.00. The most active strike by current volume is 80.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
40.00-47.4%
0
48
45.00-40.8%
1
7
50.00-34.2%
1
42
55.00-27.6%
1
34
60.00-21.0%
0
25
65.00-14.5%
1
303
70.00-7.9%
92
39
75.00-1.3%
763
0
80.005.3%
46
7
85.0011.9%
35
0
90.0018.4%
6
0
95.0025.0%
6
0
100.0031.6%
1
0
105.0038.2%
0
0
110.0044.8%
0
0
115.0051.3%
0
0
120.0057.9%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.12× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.52 21 Aug 21d
0.45 18 Sep 49d
0.45 16 Oct 77d
0.46 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Upside optionality premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money calls carry higher implied volatility than comparable puts, indicating richer upside optionality.

65
70
75
80
85
90
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
138 / 138
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

91/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $48512 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · otm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+5.0%
Call premium98%
Put premium2%
Notional split C 98% / P 2% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.04 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · OTM
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 270 contracts traded, $44548 estimated gross traded notional, and 92% of visible notional.
$44548
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $2910 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$2910
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $565 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$565
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $490 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$490

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close75.99
1W+5.0%
RS0.4
Fair value+39.8%
Options pressure100
Speculation41
Volatility76
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.9% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.52 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.04 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:29 Mixed
Pressure 5
Move 13.8%
30 Jul 10:24 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 12.5%
31 Jul 02:18 Volatility
Pressure 98
Move 12.4%
31 Jul 03:24 Volatility
Pressure 96
Move 12.4%
2 Aug 05:31 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 9.9%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike40.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 48
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 7
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 42
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 34
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 25
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 92
Puts · V 0 · OI 303
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 763
Puts · V 0 · OI 39

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts34
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts30
Avg IV0.45
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts40
Avg IV0.45
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts34
Avg IV0.46
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.48
Put IV0.58
Skew0.10
18 Sep 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.46
Put IV0.47
Skew0.01
16 Oct 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.47
Put IV0.50
Skew0.03
15 Jan 2027Balanced skew
Call IV0.43
Put IV0.48
Skew0.05

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractFLS260821C00080000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume135
OI46
IV0.55
ContractFLS260821C00090000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike90.00
Volume134
OI6
IV0.63
ContractFLS261016C00090000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike90.00
Volume12
OI949
IV0.47
ContractFLS270115P00060000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike60.00
Volume2
OI11
IV0.49
ContractFLS260918P00070000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume2
OI-
IV0.47
ContractFLS260821C00085000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike85.00
Volume1
OI35
IV0.48
ContractFLS270115C00105000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike105.00
Volume-
OI1163
IV0.44
ContractFLS261016C00080000
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike80.00
Volume-
OI1152
IV0.42