Ticker Options Intelligence

PSNL options intelligence

Personalis Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 02:44 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

PSNL currently carries bullish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 8.3%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 8.3%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.52

Call-side skew

Trend fit 68

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +7.5%

RS 39.2

Expected move 8.3%
Put-call volume 0.52
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.96
Max pain 12.50
Underlying 12.66
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 86

Research Brief

PSNL has a bullish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 11.61–13.71; The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50.

Priced range11.61–13.71
Call concentration15.00
Put concentration12.50
Max pain reference12.50
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 11.61 to 13.71. Max pain at 12.50 sits inside that range, 1.3% below spot.

Spot Max pain
11.6112.66 ± 1.0513.71
Confirmation level

A close beyond 13.71 or below 11.61 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 41/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure41 × 42%
+17.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation1 × 22%
+0.3

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement68 × 26%
+17.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility89 × 10%
+8.9

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 15.00; the largest put concentration is 12.50. The most active strike by current volume is 12.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
11
2.50-80.3%
6
0
5.00-60.5%
0
106
7.50-40.8%
1
185
10.00-21.0%
226
1541
12.50-1.3%
589
8
15.0018.5%
1778
1
17.5038.2%
644
0
20.0058.0%
551
0
22.5077.7%
1
0
25.0097.5%
2
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

2.21× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.96 21 Aug 21d
0.52 18 Sep 49d
0.52 16 Oct 77d
0.43 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

13
15
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
86 / 86
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

93/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2145 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · atm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+41
1W price+7.5%
Call premium85%
Put premium15%
Notional split C 85% / P 15% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 68/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ATM
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 27 contracts traded, $1620 estimated gross traded notional, and 76% of visible notional.
$1620
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 26 contracts traded, $325 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$325
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 22 contracts traded, $165 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$165
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $35 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$35

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close12.66
1W+7.5%
RS39.2
Fair value+154.1%
Options pressure41
Speculation1
Volatility89
Trend fit68

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 8.3% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.96 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.52 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:11 Mixed
Pressure -13
Move 11.2%
30 Jul 10:57 Volatility
Pressure 85
Move 12.9%
30 Jul 15:12 Volatility
Pressure 58
Move 10.4%
31 Jul 00:05 Volatility
Pressure 66
Move 10.2%
1 Aug 00:28 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 8.9%
2 Aug 01:44 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 8.3%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 6
Puts · V 0 · OI 11
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 106
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 226
Puts · V 26 · OI 185
Strike12.50
Calls · V 27 · OI 589
Puts · V 0 · OI 1541
Strike15.00
Calls · V 22 · OI 1778
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike17.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 644
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 551
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV0.96
Put-call0.53
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.52
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts22
Avg IV0.43
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.53
Put IV0.81
Skew0.28
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.23
Put IV0.04
Skew-0.19
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.18
Put IV0.77
Skew0.59
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.03
Skew-0.41

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractPSNL260821C00012500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume27
OI589
IV0.41
ContractPSNL260821P00010000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike10.00
Volume26
OI185
IV0.81
ContractPSNL260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume22
OI1778
IV0.53
ContractPSNL270115C00017500
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike17.50
Volume1
OI3507
IV0.44
ContractPSNL261016C00012500
SideCall
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI3441
IV0.65
ContractPSNL260821P00012500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI1541
IV0.44
ContractPSNL270115C00010000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike10.00
Volume-
OI893
IV0.40
ContractPSNL260821C00017500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume-
OI644
IV0.60