Ticker Options Intelligence

STAG options intelligence

STAG Industrial Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 21:34 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

STAG currently carries bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 4.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 4.5%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.18

Call-side skew

Trend fit 14

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -6.9%

RS -6.0

Expected move 4.5%
Put-call volume 0.18
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.26
Max pain 40.00
Underlying 38.26
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 72

Research Brief

STAG has a bullish chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 36.53–39.99; The largest call open-interest concentration is 40.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.

Priced range36.53–39.99
Call concentration40.00
Put concentration40.00
Max pain reference40.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 36.53 to 39.99. Max pain at 40.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
36.5338.26 ± 1.7339.99
Confirmation level

A close beyond 39.99 or below 36.53 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 77/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure77 × 42%
+32.2

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation8 × 22%
+1.8

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement14 × 26%
+3.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility36 × 10%
+3.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score41.3Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 40.00; the largest put concentration is 40.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
20.00-47.7%
0
0
22.50-41.2%
0
0
25.00-34.7%
0
10
30.00-21.6%
0
41
35.00-8.5%
19
54
40.004.5%
587
0
45.0017.6%
484
0
50.0030.7%
1
0
55.0043.8%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.30× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.26 21 Aug 21d
0.31 18 Sep 49d
0.23 18 Dec 140d
0.20 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

35
40
45
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
72 / 72
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

88/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow against weak price

Options are leaning call-side while the stock is down on the week, a divergence that needs price confirmation.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $3685 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow against weak price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+77
1W price-6.9%
Call premium20%
Put premium80%
Notional split C 20% / P 80% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 14/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 8-21 days · ITM
Puts · 8-21 days · ITM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $2640 estimated gross traded notional, and 72% of visible notional.
$2640
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 9 contracts traded, $450 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$450
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 3 contracts traded, $282 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$282
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 30 contracts traded, $180 estimated gross traded notional, and 5% of visible notional.
$180
Calls · 8-21 days · OTM calls cluster with 5 contracts traded, $100 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$100

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close38.26
1W-6.9%
RS-6.0
Fair value+9.2%
Options pressure77
Speculation8
Volatility36
Trend fit14

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 4.5% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.26 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.18 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:32 Bullish
Pressure 83
Move 4.9%
30 Jul 10:30 Mixed
Pressure 8
Move 5.5%
31 Jul 09:26 Bullish
Pressure 19
Move 5.0%
1 Aug 09:41 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 4.2%
1 Aug 20:34 Bullish
Pressure 77
Move 4.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike22.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 19
Puts · V 0 · OI 41
Strike40.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 587
Puts · V 0 · OI 54
Strike45.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 484
Puts · V 4 · OI 0
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.26
Put-call0.80
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.31
Put-call0.11
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts18
Avg IV0.23
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts18
Avg IV0.20
Put-call0.07

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.09
Put IV0.18
Skew0.09
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.19
Put IV0.27
Skew0.08
18 Dec 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.26
Skew0.05
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.17
Put IV0.26
Skew0.09

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractSTAG270319C00055000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike55.00
Volume30
OI-
IV0.17
ContractSTAG260918C00040000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike40.00
Volume9
OI355
IV0.19
ContractSTAG260821C00040000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume5
OI587
IV0.09
ContractSTAG260821P00045000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike45.00
Volume4
OI-
IV0.01
ContractSTAG260918P00035000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike35.00
Volume1
OI139
IV0.27
ContractSTAG261218P00035000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike35.00
Volume1
OI23
IV0.26
ContractSTAG270319P00030000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike30.00
Volume1
OI3
IV0.30
ContractSTAG270319P00035000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike35.00
Volume1
OI1
IV0.26