Ticker Options Intelligence

GSL options intelligence

Global Ship Lease Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 37 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 00:12 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

GSL currently carries bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 6.6%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 6.6%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.60

Call-side skew

Trend fit 65

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +1.7%

RS 17.0

Expected move 6.6%
Put-call volume 0.60
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.34
Max pain 40.00
Underlying 44.34
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 180

Research Brief

GSL has a bullish chain read with 37/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 41.41–47.27; The largest call open-interest concentration is 45.00; the largest put concentration is 38.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00.

Priced range41.41–47.27
Call concentration45.00
Put concentration38.00
Max pain reference40.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 41.41 to 47.27. Max pain at 40.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
41.4144.34 ± 2.9347.27
Confirmation level

A close beyond 47.27 or below 41.41 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 37/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 33/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure33 × 42%
+14.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation5 × 22%
+1.2

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement65 × 26%
+16.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility50 × 10%
+5.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score37.0Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 45.00; the largest put concentration is 38.00. The most active strike by current volume is 40.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
30.00-32.3%
0
1
32.00-27.8%
0
10
33.00-25.6%
1
43
34.00-23.3%
1
78
35.00-21.1%
0
120
36.00-18.8%
18
59
37.00-16.6%
20
180
38.00-14.3%
33
154
39.00-12.0%
24
64
40.00-9.8%
169
64
41.00-7.5%
144
30
42.00-5.3%
171
28
43.00-3.0%
297
22
44.00-0.8%
186
22
45.001.5%
1033
0
46.003.7%
95
0
47.006.0%
6
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.10× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.34 21 Aug 21d
0.27 18 Sep 49d
0.30 18 Dec 140d
0.31 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
180 / 180
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

75/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $36402 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+33
1W price+1.7%
Call premium84%
Put premium16%
Notional split C 84% / P 16% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 65/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 1 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 32 contracts traded, $14560 estimated gross traded notional, and 40% of visible notional.
$14560
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 10 contracts traded, $5300 estimated gross traded notional, and 15% of visible notional.
$5300
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $3900 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$3900
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 21 contracts traded, $2792 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$2792
Puts · 8-21 days · OTM puts cluster with 38 contracts traded, $2345 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional.
$2345

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close44.34
1W+1.7%
RS17.0
Fair value+78.3%
Options pressure33
Speculation5
Volatility50
Trend fit65

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 6.6% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.34 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.60 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:09 Bullish
Pressure 61
Move 8.1%
30 Jul 10:56 Bullish
Pressure 51
Move 6.2%
31 Jul 10:40 Bullish
Pressure 84
Move 6.4%
31 Jul 15:28 Bullish
Pressure 54
Move 6.7%
31 Jul 17:00 Bullish
Pressure 58
Move 6.8%
31 Jul 17:44 Bullish
Pressure 58
Move 6.8%
31 Jul 23:25 Bullish
Pressure 56
Move 6.7%
1 Aug 23:12 Bullish
Pressure 33
Move 6.6%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike30.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike31.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike32.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike33.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 10
Strike34.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 43
Strike35.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 78
Strike36.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 18
Puts · V 0 · OI 120
Strike37.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 20
Puts · V 0 · OI 59

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts44
Avg IV0.34
Put-call1.17
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.27
Put-call0.27
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.30
Put-call0.46
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts44
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.32
Put IV0.40
Skew0.08
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.36
Skew0.11
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.35
Skew0.10
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.21
Put IV0.37
Skew0.16

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractGSL260821C00040000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike40.00
Volume32
OI169
IV0.32
ContractGSL260918C00046000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike46.00
Volume21
OI210
IV0.25
ContractGSL260918C00045000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike45.00
Volume20
OI573
IV0.24
ContractGSL260821P00042000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike42.00
Volume19
OI30
IV0.40
ContractGSL270319C00044000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike44.00
Volume12
OI-
IV0.18
ContractGSL260821P00041000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike41.00
Volume11
OI64
IV0.38
ContractGSL260821P00044000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike44.00
Volume11
OI22
IV0.37
ContractGSL260821C00045000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike45.00
Volume10
OI1033
IV0.28