Ticker Options Intelligence

ASC options intelligence

Ardmore Shpng options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 39 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 16:27 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ASC currently carries bullish options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 9.5%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 9.5%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.66

Call-side skew

Trend fit 71

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +4.7%

RS 17.7

Expected move 9.5%
Put-call volume 0.66
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.44
Max pain 15.00
Underlying 17.39
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 90

Research Brief

ASC has a bullish chain read with 39/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 15.74–19.04; The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50.

Priced range15.74–19.04
Call concentration17.50
Put concentration15.00
Max pain reference15.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 15.74 to 19.04. Max pain at 15.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
15.7417.39 ± 1.6519.04
Confirmation level

A close beyond 19.04 or below 15.74 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 39/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 27/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure27 × 42%
+11.3

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation12 × 22%
+2.6

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement71 × 26%
+18.6

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility68 × 10%
+6.8

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score39.4Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 17.50; the largest put concentration is 15.00. The most active strike by current volume is 17.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
2.50-85.6%
1
1
5.00-71.2%
2
0
7.50-56.9%
2
1
10.00-42.5%
0
21
12.50-28.1%
43
104
15.00-13.7%
75
54
17.500.6%
240
3
20.0015.0%
37
5
22.5029.4%
0
1
25.0043.8%
0
0
30.0072.5%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.39× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.44 21 Aug 21d
0.41 18 Sep 49d
0.42 16 Oct 77d
0.31 15 Jan 168d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

15
18
20
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A97/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
90 / 90
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

80/100
Primary intent Call-heavy activity with trend alignment

Call concentration and the underlying trend align, but aggregate volume cannot establish whether calls were bought or sold.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Call-heavy activity with trend alignment matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $10414 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 91+ days · itm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+27
1W price+4.7%
Call premium78%
Put premium22%
Notional split C 78% / P 22% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 71/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 91+ days · ITM
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 20 contracts traded, $5950 estimated gross traded notional, and 57% of visible notional.
$5950
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 25 contracts traded, $1385 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional.
$1385
Calls · 8-21 days · ATM calls cluster with 16 contracts traded, $1120 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$1120
Puts · 46-90 days · ATM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $780 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$780
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $772 estimated gross traded notional, and 7% of visible notional.
$772

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Bullish pressure over fair value

Call pressure is building while the stock sits above Sharemaestro fair value.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close17.39
1W+4.7%
RS17.7
Fair value+31.0%
Options pressure27
Speculation12
Volatility68
Trend fit71

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 9.5% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.44 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.66 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 11:20 Volatility
Pressure -59
Move 15.4%
30 Jul 11:05 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 13.5%
31 Jul 10:44 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 13.7%
2 Aug 15:27 Bullish
Pressure 27
Move 9.5%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike7.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike10.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 1
Strike12.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 43
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike15.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 75
Puts · V 0 · OI 104
Strike17.50
Calls · V 16 · OI 240
Puts · V 1 · OI 54
Strike20.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 37
Puts · V 0 · OI 3

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.44
Put-call0.11
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.41
Put-call1.00
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts22
Avg IV0.42
Put-call-
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts24
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.31
Skew0.02
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.42
Put IV0.21
Skew-0.21
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.62
Skew0.22
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.38
Put IV0.12
Skew-0.25

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractASC270115C00015000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike15.00
Volume20
OI14
IV0.28
ContractASC261016P00015000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike15.00
Volume16
OI331
IV0.62
ContractASC260821C00017500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike17.50
Volume16
OI240
IV0.44
ContractASC260918C00020000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike20.00
Volume7
OI-
IV0.42
ContractASC261016P00017500
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike17.50
Volume4
OI39
IV0.62
ContractASC260918P00010000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike10.00
Volume4
OI-
IV0.65
ContractASC260821C00015000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike15.00
Volume3
OI75
IV0.58
ContractASC261016P00005000
SidePut
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Strike5.00
Volume2
OI-
IV1.11