Ticker Options Intelligence

LCID options intelligence

Lucid Group Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 55 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 2 Aug 2026 02:31 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

LCID currently carries volatility options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 16.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.03.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 16.7%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.03

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 1.67

Put-side skew

Trend fit 88

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +17.1%

RS -45.5

Expected move 16.7%
Put-call volume 1.67
Volume / OI 0.03
Reference IV 1.53
Max pain 7.00
Underlying 7.38
Nearest expiry 7 Aug 2026
Contracts 724

Research Brief

LCID has a volatility chain read with 55/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 6.15–8.61; The largest call open-interest concentration is 6.50; the largest put concentration is 6.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.00.

Priced range6.15–8.61
Call concentration6.50
Put concentration6.50
Max pain reference7.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 7 Aug

Options imply 6.15 to 8.61. Max pain at 7.00 sits inside that range, 5.1% below spot.

Spot Max pain
6.157.38 ± 1.238.61
Confirmation level

A close beyond 8.61 or below 6.15 at the 7 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 55/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 31/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure31 × 42%
+13.1

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+9.0

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement88 × 26%
+22.9

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility96 × 10%
+9.6

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score54.6Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 6.50; the largest put concentration is 6.50. The most active strike by current volume is 7.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
243
1.00-86.4%
0
548
1.50-79.7%
0
105
2.00-72.9%
20
418
4.00-45.8%
50
1228
4.50-39.0%
10
915
5.00-32.2%
149
1172
5.50-25.5%
289
1291
6.00-18.7%
722
10472
6.50-11.9%
2700
3673
7.00-5.1%
1973
461
7.501.6%
2238
229
8.008.4%
1537
33
8.5015.2%
428
35
9.0022.0%
1673
11
9.5028.7%
78
32
10.0035.5%
833
8
12.0062.6%
4
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.29× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

1.53 7 Aug 7d
1.31 14 Aug 14d
1.30 21 Aug 21d
1.21 28 Aug 28d
1.22 4 Sep 35d
1.20 11 Sep 42d
1.21 18 Sep 49d
1.17 20 Nov 112d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

6
7
7
8
8
9
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
724 / 724
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Earnings/event positioning

89/100
Primary intent Earnings/event positioning

Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $20.5M of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 91+ days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-31
1W price+17.1%
Call premium3%
Put premium97%
Notional split C 3% / P 97% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.03 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 88/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 2 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 91+ days · ITM
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 7063 contracts traded, $19.1M estimated gross traded notional, and 93% of visible notional.
$19.1M
Puts · 46-90 days · ITM puts cluster with 2756 contracts traded, $495006 estimated gross traded notional, and 2% of visible notional.
$495006
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 2745 contracts traded, $250562 estimated gross traded notional, and 1% of visible notional.
$250562
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 933 contracts traded, $94003 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$94003
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 851 contracts traded, $81010 estimated gross traded notional, and 0% of visible notional.
$81010

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close7.38
1W+17.1%
RS-45.5
Fair value-71.4%
Options pressure-31
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend fit88

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 16.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 1.53 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 1.67 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.03 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:57 Bullish
Pressure 24
Move 25.1%
30 Jul 10:47 Mixed
Pressure -11
Move 22.9%
31 Jul 10:32 Mixed
Pressure -16
Move 25.7%
2 Aug 01:31 Volatility
Pressure -31
Move 16.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike1.00
Calls · V 3 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 243
Strike1.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 548
Strike2.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 20
Puts · V 0 · OI 105
Strike2.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 2 · OI 4
Strike3.00
Calls · V 1 · OI 0
Puts · V 1 · OI 52
Strike3.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 29
Strike4.00
Calls · V 50 · OI 50
Puts · V 15 · OI 418
Strike4.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 10
Puts · V 13 · OI 1228

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV1.53
Put-call0.69
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts64
Avg IV1.31
Put-call0.28
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts80
Avg IV1.30
Put-call1.72
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV1.21
Put-call0.90
Expiry4 Sep 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV1.22
Put-call1.52

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.49
Put IV1.51
Skew0.02
14 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.28
Put IV1.44
Skew0.16
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV1.35
Put IV1.42
Skew0.07
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV1.48
Put IV1.44
Skew-0.04
4 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.35
Put IV1.28
Skew-0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractLCID270115P00035000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike35.00
Volume5243
OI6549
IV2.02
ContractLCID260918P00008000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike8.00
Volume2677
OI2818
IV1.28
ContractLCID260918C00008000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike8.00
Volume2568
OI7172
IV1.09
ContractLCID270115P00030000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike30.00
Volume1112
OI174
IV1.89
ContractLCID270115P00032000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike32.00
Volume632
OI2453
IV2.05
ContractLCID260814C00007000
SideCall
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Strike7.00
Volume632
OI332
IV1.24
ContractLCID260807P00007000
SidePut
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike7.00
Volume624
OI3673
IV1.60
ContractLCID260807C00008500
SideCall
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Strike8.50
Volume604
OI428
IV1.49