Ticker Options Intelligence

EMR options intelligence

Emerson Electric Company options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 32 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:01 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

EMR currently carries mixed options pressure with a 32/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 2.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.01.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 2.1%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.01

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.79

Balanced tape

Trend fit 49

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +1.3%

RS 0.3

Expected move 2.1%
Put-call volume 0.79
Volume / OI 0.01
Reference IV 0.40
Max pain 148.00
Underlying 147.94
Nearest expiry 31 Jul 2026
Contracts 1082

Research Brief

EMR has a mixed chain read with 32/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 144.83–151.05; The largest call open-interest concentration is 155.00; the largest put concentration is 148.00. The most active strike by current volume is 150.00.

Priced range144.83–151.05
Call concentration155.00
Put concentration148.00
Max pain reference148.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.
  • Front-expiry volatility is rich, so the signal may be event-driven and vulnerable to volatility compression.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 31 Jul

Options imply 144.83 to 151.05. Max pain at 148.00 sits inside that range, 0.0% above spot.

Spot Max pain
144.83147.94 ± 3.11151.05
Confirmation level

A close beyond 151.05 or below 144.83 at the 31 Jul expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 32/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 16/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure16 × 42%
+6.5

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation40 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement49 × 26%
+12.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility37 × 10%
+3.7

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score31.7Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 155.00; the largest put concentration is 148.00. The most active strike by current volume is 150.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
80.00-45.9%
82
0
85.00-42.5%
81
75
130.00-12.1%
1
102
137.00-7.4%
3
209
138.00-6.7%
3
60
140.00-5.4%
2
87
141.00-4.7%
7
53
142.00-4.0%
2
92
145.00-2.0%
80
53
147.00-0.6%
56
1463
148.000.0%
256
52
149.000.7%
11
49
150.001.4%
73
97
152.503.1%
120
34
155.004.8%
356
0
157.506.5%
50
0
162.509.8%
212
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Front-loaded volatility

1.21× front/back

Near-term options are materially richer than later expirations, consistent with concentrated event or immediate-risk pricing.

0.40 31 Jul 1d
0.54 7 Aug 8d
0.46 14 Aug 15d
0.40 21 Aug 22d
0.37 28 Aug 29d
0.36 4 Sep 36d
0.34 11 Sep 43d
0.35 18 Sep 50d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

119
121
123
125
127
129
131
133
135
137
139
142
144
146
148
150
155
160
165
170
175
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 31 Jul 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

Usable with limits

C69/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
1082 / 1082
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

69/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $431318 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 46-90 days · atm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+16
1W price+1.3%
Call premium61%
Put premium39%
Notional split C 61% / P 39% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.01 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 49/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Event window 4 Aug Matched earnings event is 3 days away.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Puts · 46-90 days · ATM
Puts · 46-90 days · ATM puts cluster with 116 contracts traded, $88420 estimated gross traded notional, and 20% of visible notional.
$88420
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 56 contracts traded, $52190 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$52190
Calls · 46-90 days · OTM calls cluster with 124 contracts traded, $43410 estimated gross traded notional, and 10% of visible notional.
$43410
Calls · 0-7 days · ITM calls cluster with 12 contracts traded, $38610 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$38610
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 47 contracts traded, $36075 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional.
$36075

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Warning Crowded strike risk

Underlying price is close to the max-pain zone.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close149.82
1W+1.3%
RS0.3
Fair value+27.8%
Options pressure16
Speculation40
Volatility37
Trend fit49

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 2.1% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.40 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.79 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.01 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:04 Mixed
Pressure -14
Move 3.9%
30 Jul 10:03 Bearish
Pressure -23
Move 2.9%
31 Jul 10:01 Mixed
Pressure 16
Move 2.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 82
Puts · V 1 · OI 1
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 81
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 3
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike110.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike113.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry31 Jul 2026
Contracts118
Avg IV0.40
Put-call0.95
Expiry7 Aug 2026
Contracts114
Avg IV0.54
Put-call0.51
Expiry14 Aug 2026
Contracts114
Avg IV0.46
Put-call-
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts100
Avg IV0.40
Put-call1.08
Expiry28 Aug 2026
Contracts104
Avg IV0.37
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
31 Jul 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.43
Put IV0.75
Skew0.31
7 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.56
Put IV0.61
Skew0.05
14 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.44
Put IV0.47
Skew0.03
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.40
Put IV0.46
Skew0.07
28 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.39
Put IV0.40
Skew0.01

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractEMR260918P00150000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike150.00
Volume102
OI201
IV0.35
ContractEMR260918C00160000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike160.00
Volume91
OI1767
IV0.33
ContractEMR260918C00145000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike145.00
Volume45
OI605
IV0.35
ContractEMR260918C00155000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike155.00
Volume24
OI4508
IV0.34
ContractEMR270115P00125000
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike125.00
Volume21
OI394
IV0.36
ContractEMR270319P00130000
SidePut
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike130.00
Volume14
OI319
IV0.37
ContractEMR260918P00145000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike145.00
Volume14
OI138
IV0.35
ContractEMR270319C00175000
SideCall
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Strike175.00
Volume14
OI37
IV0.31