Ticker Options Intelligence

ARX options intelligence

Accelerant Holdings options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 54 Market data through 29 Jul 2026 Checked 30 Jul 2026 05:19 · complete available chain

Volatility expansion watch

Volatility pressure

ARX currently carries volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 26.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.12.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Chart Weekly report
Primary read Volatility

Volatility expansion watch

Expected move 26.0%

Wider near-term move priced

Activity / OI 0.12

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.33

Call-side skew

Trend fit 37

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +5.3%

RS -13.3

Expected move 26.0%
Put-call volume 0.33
Volume / OI 0.12
Reference IV 1.58
Max pain 12.50
Underlying 14.23
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 53

Options Intent Radar

Volatility expansion bet

92/100
Primary intent Volatility expansion bet

The strongest message is movement risk: expected move and implied volatility are carrying more signal than direction.

Flow vs price divergence Volatility flow versus price

Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.

Why this matters

Volatility expansion bet matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $123295 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 22-45 days · itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+61
1W price+5.3%
Call premium71%
Put premium29%
Notional split C 71% / P 29% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.12 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 37/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 22-45 days · ITM
Calls · 22-45 days · ITM calls cluster with 49 contracts traded, $45850 estimated gross traded notional, and 37% of visible notional.
$45850
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 30 contracts traded, $30520 estimated gross traded notional, and 25% of visible notional.
$30520
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 40 contracts traded, $25292 estimated gross traded notional, and 21% of visible notional.
$25292
Calls · 91+ days · OTM calls cluster with 118 contracts traded, $14360 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$14360
Puts · 91+ days · OTM puts cluster with 42 contracts traded, $3580 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional.
$3580

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Warning Volatility expansion

The tape is pricing or displaying unusually elevated activity.

Warning Event-risk setup

Expected move or upcoming earnings makes the setup more event-sensitive.

Activity Anomaly

High anomaly

100

Current options activity is unusually hot versus this ticker's stored history.

Volume rank100th
Volume/OI rank100th
IV rank100th

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close14.23
1W+5.3%
RS-13.3
Fair value-7.2%
Options pressure61
Speculation43
Volatility96
Trend fit37

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 26.0% elevated
30d avg 16.3% · 1 read 100th
90d avg 16.3% · 1 read 100th
180d avg 16.3% · 1 read 100th
IV 1.58 elevated
30d avg 0.96 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.96 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.96 · 1 read 100th
Put-call 0.33 elevated
30d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.00 · 1 read 100th
Volume/OI 0.12 elevated
30d avg 0.02 · 1 read 100th
90d avg 0.02 · 1 read 100th
180d avg 0.02 · 1 read 100th

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:51 Volatility
Pressure 100
Move 16.3%
30 Jul 04:19 Volatility
Pressure 61
Move 26.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike2.50
Calls · V 41 · OI 2
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike5.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 2 · OI 4
Strike7.50
Calls · V 2 · OI 21
Puts · V 0 · OI 4
Strike10.00
Calls · V 2 · OI 4
Puts · V 1 · OI 25
Strike12.50
Calls · V 4 · OI 98
Puts · V 4 · OI 109
Strike15.00
Calls · V 15 · OI 108
Puts · V 6 · OI 15
Strike17.50
Calls · V 1 · OI 458
Puts · V 2 · OI 2
Strike20.00
Calls · V 5 · OI 160
Puts · V 2 · OI 4

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts20
Avg IV1.58
Put-call0.41
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts5
Avg IV2.10
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts11
Avg IV0.85
Put-call0.25
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts13
Avg IV0.46
Put-call0.05
Expiry19 Feb 2027
Contracts4
Avg IV1.13
Put-call1.00

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Call IV premium
Call IV1.31
Put IV0.76
Skew-0.55
18 Sep 2026Call IV premium
Call IV0.87
Put IV0.81
Skew-0.06
20 Nov 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.87
Put IV0.84
Skew-0.03
15 Jan 2027Call IV premium
Call IV0.88
Put IV0.60
Skew-0.27
19 Feb 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.79
Put IV0.97
Skew0.18

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractARX260821P00007500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI4
IV4.47
ContractARX260821P00002500
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike2.50
Volume-
OI4
IV6.95
ContractARX260918P00012500
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI1
IV0.81
ContractARX270115C00005000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike5.00
Volume-
OI1
IV1.94
ContractARX270115P00012500
SidePut
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI1
IV0.60
ContractARX261120P00012500
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike12.50
Volume-
OI1
IV0.84
ContractARX261120P00015000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike15.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.60
ContractARX260918C00007500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike7.50
Volume-
OI1
IV1.77