Ticker Options Intelligence

EIX options intelligence

Edison International options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 41 Market data through 30 Jul 2026 Checked 31 Jul 2026 11:05 · complete available chain

Options-market disagreement

Mixed pressure

EIX currently carries mixed options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.1%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.02.

Primary read Mixed

Options-market disagreement

Expected move 5.1%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.02

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.72

Call-side skew

Trend fit 84

Options agree with trend context

Weekly backdrop +2.7%

RS 16.8

Expected move 5.1%
Put-call volume 0.72
Volume / OI 0.02
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 75.00
Underlying 79.75
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 236

Research Brief

EIX has a mixed chain read with 41/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 75.70–83.80; The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 65.00. The most active strike by current volume is 77.50.

Priced range75.70–83.80
Call concentration85.00
Put concentration65.00
Max pain reference75.00
What would confirm it
  • A clear directional pressure reading develops and price begins to agree.
  • The current chain read already agrees with the stored weekly trend context.
What would weaken it
  • Volatility falls and the chain remains directionally mixed.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 75.70 to 83.80. Max pain at 75.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
75.7079.75 ± 4.0583.80
Confirmation level

A close beyond 83.80 or below 75.70 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 41/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 14/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure14 × 42%
+6.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation41 × 22%
+8.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement84 × 26%
+21.7

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility41 × 10%
+4.1

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score40.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 85.00; the largest put concentration is 65.00. The most active strike by current volume is 77.50. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
3
50.00-37.3%
0
3
55.00-31.0%
0
8
60.00-24.8%
0
21
62.50-21.6%
0
2637
65.00-18.5%
9
477
67.50-15.4%
1
2039
70.00-12.2%
57
1204
72.50-9.1%
296
989
75.00-6.0%
1129
191
77.50-2.8%
652
209
80.000.3%
1296
0
82.503.4%
158
0
85.006.6%
2016
0
87.509.7%
373
0
90.0012.9%
91
0
95.0019.1%
12
0
100.0025.4%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

1.08× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.30 21 Aug 22d
0.29 18 Sep 50d
0.29 16 Oct 78d
0.26 15 Jan 169d
0.27 21 Jan 540d

Volatility by Strike

Downside protection premium

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than comparable calls, indicating richer downside protection.

65
68
70
73
75
78
80
83
85
88
90
95
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
30 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
236 / 236
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

68/100
Primary intent Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate

Activity is spread across expirations with heavier open interest than current volume, which can be consistent with position maintenance.

Flow vs price divergence No clean flow/price divergence

The options read is mixed, so divergence is not strong enough to classify.

Why this matters

Multi-expiry position-maintenance candidate matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $275865 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 8-21 days · itm, and a no clean flow/price divergence backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+14
1W price+2.7%
Call premium86%
Put premium14%
Notional split C 86% / P 14% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.02 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 84/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction. Roll detection is conservative because opening and closing legs are not directly observable in this snapshot.
Conviction clusters Calls · 8-21 days · ITM
Calls · 8-21 days · ITM calls cluster with 245 contracts traded, $102955 estimated gross traded notional, and 37% of visible notional.
$102955
Calls · 91+ days · ITM calls cluster with 67 contracts traded, $61695 estimated gross traded notional, and 22% of visible notional.
$61695
Puts · 46-90 days · OTM puts cluster with 277 contracts traded, $32482 estimated gross traded notional, and 12% of visible notional.
$32482
Calls · 91+ days · ATM calls cluster with 33 contracts traded, $31185 estimated gross traded notional, and 11% of visible notional.
$31185
Calls · 46-90 days · ITM calls cluster with 52 contracts traded, $25110 estimated gross traded notional, and 9% of visible notional.
$25110

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Positive Options-confirmed trend

Positioning agrees with the Sharemaestro trend backdrop.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

2 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 2 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close79.75
1W+2.7%
RS16.8
Fair value+27.2%
Options pressure14
Speculation41
Volatility41
Trend fit84

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.1% history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.72 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.02 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:15 Bullish
Pressure 29
Move 6.0%
30 Jul 10:11 Mixed
Pressure 13
Move 5.9%
31 Jul 10:05 Mixed
Pressure 14
Move 5.1%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike50.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike55.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 3
Strike60.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 8
Strike62.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 21
Strike65.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 9
Puts · V 0 · OI 2637
Strike67.50
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 12 · OI 477
Strike70.00
Calls · V 51 · OI 57
Puts · V 35 · OI 2039
Strike72.50
Calls · V 6 · OI 296
Puts · V 8 · OI 1204

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.30
Put-call0.21
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts36
Avg IV0.29
Put-call4.40
Expiry16 Oct 2026
Contracts42
Avg IV0.29
Put-call1.29
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Contracts60
Avg IV0.26
Put-call0.17
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Contracts62
Avg IV0.27
Put-call0.17

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.34
Skew0.09
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.34
Skew0.06
16 Oct 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.26
Put IV0.36
Skew0.10
15 Jan 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.24
Put IV0.33
Skew0.09
21 Jan 2028Put IV premium
Call IV0.22
Put IV0.35
Skew0.13

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractEIX260918P00070000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike70.00
Volume215
OI22
IV0.38
ContractEIX260821C00077500
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike77.50
Volume174
OI652
IV0.25
ContractEIX260821C00070000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume51
OI57
IV0.01
ContractEIX260821C00080000
SideCall
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike80.00
Volume47
OI1296
IV0.26
ContractEIX260918C00077500
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike77.50
Volume40
OI65
IV0.27
ContractEIX260821P00070000
SidePut
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Strike70.00
Volume35
OI2039
IV0.39
ContractEIX280121C00080000
SideCall
Expiry21 Jan 2028
Strike80.00
Volume31
OI102
IV0.22
ContractEIX270115C00075000
SideCall
Expiry15 Jan 2027
Strike75.00
Volume27
OI367
IV0.26