Ticker Options Intelligence

BPRO options intelligence

BITWISE PROFICIO CURRENCY DEBASEMENT ETF options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 44 Market data through 5 Aug 2026 Checked 5 Aug 2026 20:50 · complete available chain

Put-side pressure

Bearish pressure

BPRO currently carries bearish options pressure with a 44/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 0.0%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.35.

Primary read Bearish

Put-side pressure

Expected move 0.0%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.35

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call -

Balanced tape

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop -0.6%

Sharemaestro weekly context

Expected move 0.0%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.35
Reference IV 0.00
Max pain 26.00
Underlying 18.93
Nearest expiry 18 Sep 2026
Contracts 5

Research Brief

BPRO has a bearish chain read with 44/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 18.93–18.93; The largest call open-interest concentration is 24.00; the largest put concentration is 24.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00.

Priced range18.93–18.93
Call concentration24.00
Put concentration24.00
Max pain reference26.00
What would confirm it
  • Price remains weak while put-side concentration persists.
What would weaken it
  • Price recovers while put pressure fades or reverses toward calls.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 18 Sep

Options imply 18.93 to 18.93. Max pain at 26.00 lies outside the priced range, so it is a weak near-term anchor.

Spot Max pain
18.9318.93 ± 0.0018.93
Confirmation level

A close beyond 18.93 or below 18.93 at the 18 Sep expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 44/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward puts; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation9 × 22%
+1.9

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility0 × 10%
+0.0

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score43.9Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 24.00; the largest put concentration is 24.00. The most active strike by current volume is 25.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
1
24.0026.8%
0
0
25.0032.1%
0
1
26.0037.3%
0
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Gamma Profile by Strike

Negative gamma proxy

Model-estimated Greeks · 33% coverage

Put-side gamma sensitivity outweighs the call-side proxy across the retained chain. The largest bars mark levels where delta-hedging sensitivity may be most concentrated.

Net profile-$283Delta change / 1% move
Positive peak-No positive strike
Negative peak19.00-$283
Nearest balance-Interpolated sign change
StrikeNegativePositiveNet / 1% move
19.000.4%
-$283
Positive call-side proxy Negative put-side proxyHighlighted row is nearest spot strike

Scenario proxy = gamma × open interest × 100 shares × spot² × 1%. Calls are positive and puts negative by convention. Missing Greeks use a Black-Scholes estimate from stored IV with zero rate and dividend assumptions. Open interest does not reveal who is long or short, so this is not observed dealer positioning or a forecast.

Volatility Curve

Back-loaded volatility

0.00× front/back

Longer-dated options carry more implied volatility than the front expiry, so risk is priced farther out.

0.00 18 Sep 44d
0.32 18 Dec 135d

Volatility by Strike

Smile incomplete

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

There is not enough comparable OTM call and put volatility to classify the smile.

Comparable strike volatility is unavailable.

Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 matured · 0 directional

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Auditable calculationoriginal version retained
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Eligible snapshots must have a dated market session, stored signal, and point-in-time market reference. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first stored weekly close on or immediately after expiry; its original calculation version is retained. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A91/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
5 Aug 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
5 / 5
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Put-heavy activity

94/100
Primary intent Put-heavy activity

Put-side activity dominates. This can reflect hedging or directional positioning, but the chain alone cannot distinguish buying from selling.

Flow vs price divergence Bearish flow before price confirmation

Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.

Why this matters

Put-heavy activity matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $2,000 of estimated gross traded notional, puts · 22-45 days · itm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure-100
1W price-0.6%
Call premium0%
Put premium100%
Notional split C 0% / P 100% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.35 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Puts · 22-45 days · ITM
Puts · 22-45 days · ITM puts cluster with 4 contracts traded, $1,440 estimated gross traded notional, and 72% of visible notional.
$1,440
Puts · 91+ days · ATM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $285 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$285
Puts · 91+ days · ITM puts cluster with 1 contracts traded, $275 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional.
$275

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

6 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 6 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close18.93
1W-0.6%
RS-
Fair value-14.2%
Options pressure-100
Speculation9
Volatility0
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 0.0% history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
IV 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -
Put-call - history building
30d avg - · 0/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 0/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 0/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.35 history building
30d avg - · 6/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 6/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 6/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 12:04 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 2.7%
29 Jul 23:03 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 0.0%
31 Jul 10:48 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 1.6%
2 Aug 04:38 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 1.7%
4 Aug 00:58 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 1.7%
5 Aug 07:05 Mixed
Pressure 0
Move 1.9%
5 Aug 19:50 Bearish
Pressure -100
Move 0.0%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike24.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1
Strike25.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 4 · OI 0
Strike26.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 1

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts3
Avg IV0.00
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts2
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
18 Sep 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV-
Skew-
18 Dec 2026Incomplete skew
Call IV-
Put IV-
Skew-

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractBPRO260918P00024000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike24.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.00
ContractBPRO260918P00026000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike26.00
Volume-
OI1
IV0.00
ContractBPRO260918P00025000
SidePut
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike25.00
Volume4
OI-
IV0.00
ContractBPRO261218P00019000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike19.00
Volume1
OI15
IV0.65
ContractBPRO261218P00023000
SidePut
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Strike23.00
Volume1
OI-
IV0.00