Ticker Options Intelligence

ALV options intelligence

Autoliv Inc options pressure, expected move, strike concentration, and Sharemaestro trend context.

Conviction 47 Market data through 31 Jul 2026 Checked 1 Aug 2026 22:24 · complete available chain

Call-side pressure

Bullish pressure

ALV currently carries bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score. The nearest-chain expected move is 5.7%, with volume/open-interest participation at 0.00.

Options Intelligence Opportunities Bullish confirmation Risks Unusual flow Vol expansion Repeated pressure Compare Chart Weekly report
Primary read Bullish

Call-side pressure

Expected move 5.7%

Near-term move context

Activity / OI 0.00

Current volume is quieter versus prior open interest

Put-call 0.00

Call-side skew

Trend fit 0

Options are not fully confirming trend

Weekly backdrop +4.8%

RS -4.0

Expected move 5.7%
Put-call volume -
Volume / OI 0.00
Reference IV 0.30
Max pain 120.00
Underlying 123.17
Nearest expiry 21 Aug 2026
Contracts 256

Research Brief

ALV has a bullish chain read with 47/100 evidence alignment.

The practical question is whether the underlying confirms the options concentration. The chain prices a reference range of 116.09–130.25; The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 115.00. The most active strike by current volume is 70.00.

Priced range116.09–130.25
Call concentration120.00
Put concentration115.00
Max pain reference120.00
What would confirm it
  • Price holds or improves while call-side concentration remains elevated.
What would weaken it
  • Price weakens while call pressure fades or reverses toward puts.
  • Options and the weekly trend are not yet giving the same message.

Priced Move

Where the chain says movement becomes exceptional

Size, not direction · through 21 Aug

Options imply 116.09 to 130.25. Max pain at 120.00 sits inside that range, 2.6% below spot.

Spot Max pain
116.09123.17 ± 7.08130.25
Confirmation level

A close beyond 130.25 or below 116.09 at the 21 Aug expiry would exceed the move currently priced by this chain.

Important limitation

The range is a pricing reference, not a forecast; volatility can reprice sharply after news or as expiry approaches.

Score Construction

Why conviction is 47/100

Evidence alignment, not probability

Pressure is 100/100 toward calls; conviction uses its strength, while the signal label carries its direction.

Directional pressure100 × 42%
+42.0

How strongly activity leans toward calls or puts.

Participation2 × 22%
+0.4

Volume relative to existing open interest and contract-level activity.

Trend agreement0 × 26%
+0.0

How closely the chain read agrees with the underlying trend backdrop.

Volatility44 × 10%
+4.4

The intensity of implied volatility and the priced move.

Reconstructed score46.8Matches stored calculation

Positioning by Strike

Where open interest and current activity concentrate

Full strike map

The largest call open-interest concentration is 120.00; the largest put concentration is 115.00. The most active strike by current volume is 70.00. Open-interest concentrations show where positions exist; they are not proven support, resistance or dealer exposure.

Put open interestStrikeCall open interest
0
70.00-43.2%
0
0
75.00-39.1%
0
0
80.00-35.0%
1
0
85.00-31.0%
0
0
90.00-26.9%
0
2
95.00-22.9%
0
12
100.00-18.8%
0
11
105.00-14.8%
0
16
110.00-10.7%
0
104
115.00-6.6%
1
19
120.00-2.6%
102
15
125.001.5%
21
2
130.005.5%
23
0
135.009.6%
14
0
140.0013.7%
26
0
145.0017.7%
1
0
155.0025.8%
14
Nearest spot strike Max pain strikeBars show relative OI within this expiry

Volatility Curve

Balanced volatility curve

0.95× front/back

Near- and longer-dated implied volatility are broadly aligned; no exceptional front-expiry premium is visible.

0.30 21 Aug 21d
0.29 18 Sep 49d
0.31 20 Nov 112d
0.31 18 Dec 140d
0.32 19 Mar 231d

Volatility by Strike

Balanced wings

Nearest expiry, within 20% of spot

Comparable upside calls and downside puts carry broadly similar implied volatility.

100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
Put IV Call IV

Historical Replay

How matured reads behaved through expiry

0 directional observations

Forward validation is building. The earliest eligible stored read expires 21 Aug 2026; its result will appear after the matched closing reference is stored.

Directional follow-through-
Moves contained by pricing-
Average expiry move-
Validation readiness
  • Versioned calculationv2 observations only
  • Independent entryone read per market session
  • Point-in-time referencerequired at entry
  • Matched expiry closereported only after maturity

Only v2 snapshots with a point-in-time market reference are eligible. Each observation uses one read per market session and the first weekly close on or immediately after expiry. It is an evidence audit, not an executable strategy or evidence of future performance.

Evidence Quality

High

A100/100
Retained chain100%
Implied volatility100%
Two-sided quotes100%
Open interest100%
Chain status
Complete available chain
Market date
31 Jul 2026
Calculation
v2.0
Contracts
256 / 256
  • No material coverage gap was detected in the retained chain.

Aggregate chain data supports concentration, participation and pricing analysis. It does not identify trade aggressor, opening versus closing activity, multi-leg intent or dealer inventory.

Options Intent Radar

Directional flow, confirmation needed

35/100
Primary intent Directional flow, confirmation needed

There is useful activity, but aggregate chain data does not isolate participant intent.

Flow vs price divergence Bullish flow confirms price

Options pressure and weekly price action are pointing in the same constructive direction.

Why this matters

Directional flow, confirmation needed matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $410 of estimated gross traded notional, calls · 46-90 days · atm, and a bullish flow confirms price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.

Options pressure+100
1W price+4.8%
Call premium100%
Put premium0%
Notional split C 100% / P 0% Estimated gross traded notional uses volume × contract multiplier × midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available.
Freshness 0.00 Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain.
Trend fit 0/100 Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context.
Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction.
Conviction clusters Calls · 46-90 days · ATM
Calls · 46-90 days · ATM calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $410 estimated gross traded notional, and 100% of visible notional.
$410

Setup Classification

Opportunity and risk frame

Context, not advice
Negative Options disagreement

Options positioning is not confirming the underlying trend context.

Activity Anomaly

Warming up

-

3 of 10 completed market sessions are available. More session history is needed before activity can be compared with a reliable normal.

Baseline: 3 completed sessions

Volume rank-
Volume/OI rank-
IV rank-

Market Context

Underlying confirmation

Sharemaestro weekly
Close123.17
1W+4.8%
RS-4.0
Fair value+18.2%
Options pressure100
Speculation2
Volatility44
Trend fit0

Today Versus Normal

Stored-options context

View history
Expected move 5.7% history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
IV 0.30 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -
Put-call 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 2/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 2/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 2/60 sessions -
Volume/OI 0.00 history building
30d avg - · 3/10 sessions -
90d avg - · 3/30 sessions -
180d avg - · 3/60 sessions -

Pressure Trail

Recent pressure and volatility

Open trail
29 Jul 10:28 Bearish
Pressure -72
Move 9.3%
30 Jul 10:24 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 7.0%
30 Jul 22:53 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 9.4%
31 Jul 09:24 Mixed
Pressure 5
Move 9.4%
31 Jul 16:50 Bullish
Pressure 41
Move 8.3%
1 Aug 05:12 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 8.3%
1 Aug 21:24 Bullish
Pressure 100
Move 5.7%

Strike Map

Where activity is clustering

Full strike map
Strike70.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike75.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike80.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 1
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike85.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike90.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 0
Strike95.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 2
Strike100.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 12
Strike105.00
Calls · V 0 · OI 0
Puts · V 0 · OI 11

Term Structure

Expiration activity

Volume and IV
Expiry21 Aug 2026
Contracts46
Avg IV0.30
Put-call-
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.29
Put-call-
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Contracts54
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry18 Dec 2026
Contracts52
Avg IV0.31
Put-call-
Expiry19 Mar 2027
Contracts50
Avg IV0.32
Put-call-

Skew

Call/put IV balance

OTM demand
21 Aug 2026Balanced skew
Call IV0.31
Put IV0.34
Skew0.03
18 Sep 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.25
Put IV0.33
Skew0.08
20 Nov 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.35
Skew0.06
18 Dec 2026Put IV premium
Call IV0.28
Put IV0.36
Skew0.08
19 Mar 2027Put IV premium
Call IV0.29
Put IV0.36
Skew0.07

Contract Tape

Most active contracts

Full contract tape
ContractALV260918C00125000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike125.00
Volume1
OI5
IV0.26
ContractALV261120P00100000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike100.00
Volume-
OI702
IV0.38
ContractALV260918C00135000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike135.00
Volume-
OI460
IV0.25
ContractALV260918C00150000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike150.00
Volume-
OI426
IV0.19
ContractALV261120C00155000
SideCall
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike155.00
Volume-
OI350
IV0.14
ContractALV260918C00140000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike140.00
Volume-
OI299
IV0.13
ContractALV260918C00145000
SideCall
Expiry18 Sep 2026
Strike145.00
Volume-
OI232
IV0.16
ContractALV261120P00090000
SidePut
Expiry20 Nov 2026
Strike90.00
Volume-
OI203
IV0.21