Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 2.8% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 2.8%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 28/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 2.8%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 270 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality27.8
Momentum1.5
Urgency66.4
7d Move-0.2 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 2.8%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 28/100.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 53.4% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50