Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-43 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 94.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 94.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 25
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.4K Liquidity 10.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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