Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 44.5% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 44.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 55/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 44.5%
Signal Watch
Score 39
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95.1K Liquidity 41.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality55.1
Momentum0.0
Urgency79.7
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 44.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 55/100.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 53.4% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50