Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 31.5% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 31.5%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 23/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 31.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 37
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 53 Spread 0.6 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality22.8
Momentum58.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-9.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 31.5%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 23/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 53.4% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50