Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 46.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 46.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 26/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 46.5%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 231 Spread 0.5 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality26.3
Momentum14.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move1.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 46.5%. 24h move +1.0 pts. 7d move +1.0 pts. Data quality 26/100.

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