Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 76.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 76.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 43/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 76.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 33
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.3K Liquidity 2.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality43.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency73.4
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 76.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 43/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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