Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 95.5% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 95.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 52/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 95.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 27
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 92.7K Liquidity 8.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality51.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 95.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 52/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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