Polymarket · Energy

Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 13.0% on a thin market. Energy expectation is steady at 13.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 25/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 13.0%
Signal Watch
Score 20
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 92 Liquidity 72 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality24.7
Momentum3.0
Urgency41.4
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 13.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 25/100.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 39.5% · Thin Market · score 42 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.0% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 38 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 36 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? 4.7% · Watch · score 35