Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 8.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.7%
Signal Watch
Score 25
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.2K Liquidity 24.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

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