Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the PA-09 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 95.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 95.0%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 95.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.2K Liquidity 4.1K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.4
Momentum7.4
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.7 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 95.0%. 24h move +0.7 pts. 7d move +0.7 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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