Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 88.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 88.6%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 88.6%
Signal High Conviction
Score 25
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.2K Liquidity 758 Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.5
Momentum8.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.2 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 88.6%. 24h move -0.2 pts. 7d move -0.2 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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