Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the OR-04 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 88.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 88.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 88.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 23
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 1.2K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 88.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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