Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 97.6% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 97.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
97.7%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
24
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.1K
Liquidity 7.6K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 97.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Same theme