Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 92.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 92.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 22
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 913 Liquidity 10.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.1
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 53.4% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50