Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 57.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 57.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 42/100.

Probability 57.0%
Signal Watch
Score 33
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 1.2K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.6
Momentum27.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 57.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 42/100.

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