Polymarket · Energy

Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 2.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 2.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 42/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 2.0%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 908 Liquidity 17.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality42.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency41.4
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 2.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 42/100.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 39.5% · Thin Market · score 42 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.0% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 38 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 36 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? 4.7% · Watch · score 35