Polymarket · Energy

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 98.9% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 98.9%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 98.9%
Signal High Conviction
Score 28
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 9.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency40.7
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 98.9%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 39.5% · Thin Market · score 42 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.0% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 38 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 36 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? 4.7% · Watch · score 35