Polymarket · Energy

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $63 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Energy expectations are falling at 97.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 97.0%. 24h move -0.1 pts. 7d move -0.1 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 97.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 28
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.1K Liquidity 11.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality46.8
Momentum1.2
Urgency40.7
7d Move-0.1 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 97.0%. 24h move -0.1 pts. 7d move -0.1 pts. Data quality 47/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 39.5% · Thin Market · score 42 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.0% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 38 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 36 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? 4.7% · Watch · score 35