Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 94.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 94.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 24
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.0K Liquidity 7.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality45.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 94.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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