Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.2% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.2%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 53/100.

Probability 0.3%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90.2K Liquidity 18.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality53.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.2%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 53/100.

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