Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 92.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Probability 92.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 25
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.0K Liquidity 7.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality45.8
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

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