Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 92.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
92.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
25
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.0K
Liquidity 7.5K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.8
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.5 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 92.0%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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