Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 85.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 85.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
85.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
24
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.0K
Liquidity 7.6K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality45.8
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 85.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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