Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.6% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 62/100.

Probability 0.7%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 892.6K Liquidity 86.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality62.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 62/100.

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