Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.6% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 62/100.
Probability
0.7%
Signal
Watch
Score
31
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 892.6K
Liquidity 86.7K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality62.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.6%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 62/100.
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