Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 87.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.0%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
87.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.9K
Liquidity 1.4K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality41.9
Momentum10.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.9 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.0%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -0.8 pts. Data quality 42/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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