Polymarket · Energy

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 96.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 96.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 96.0%
Signal High Conviction
Score 26
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 872 Liquidity 13.1K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency40.7
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 96.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on June 8? 46.5% · Thin Market · score 55 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 5.2% · Watch · score 38 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? 4.0% · Watch · score 38 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? 98.2% · High Conviction · score 36 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 63.0% · Watch · score 35 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? 32.5% · Watch · score 34