Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 64.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 64.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 43/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 64.0%
Signal Watch
Score 37
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.7K Liquidity 2.7K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality43.2
Momentum11.8
Urgency73.4
7d Move-1.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 64.0%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 43/100.

Same theme
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Antioquia in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 87.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will the Republican Party win the NV-03 House seat? 19.0% · Probability Fade · score 55 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? 53.4% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 54 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? 62.0% · Probability Fade · score 50