Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 75.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 75.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 43/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
75.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
24
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.7K
Liquidity 2.5K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality43.3
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.5 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 75.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 43/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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