Polymarket · Energy

Iran full airspace closure by July 24?

Energy expectations are falling at 13.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 13.5%. 24h move -13.0 pts. 7d move -10.5 pts. Data quality 52/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 13.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 65
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97.2K Liquidity 9.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality52.0
Momentum75.9
Urgency70.3
7d Move-10.5 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 13.5%. 24h move -13.0 pts. 7d move -10.5 pts. Data quality 52/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? 20.5% · Probability Fade · score 58 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? 37.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? 31.0% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? 19.7% · Probability Surge · score 48 Will Chevron (CVX) Q2 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.0M? 58.5% · Probability Surge · score 47 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? 55.5% · Probability Fade · score 42