Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?

Rates & Inflation expectations are steady at 0.8% on a high-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 58/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.9%
Signal Watch
Score 33
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 930.0K Liquidity 12.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality57.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency44.9
7d Move0.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 58/100.

Same theme
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 19.5% · Probability Fade · score 53 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 97.9% · High Conviction · score 35 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? 1.6% · Watch · score 32 Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May? 38.5% · Watch · score 27 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting? 76.5% · High Conviction · score 26 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? 8.5% · Watch · score 25